Rupee slumps as oil’s renewed surge keeps local stocks, bonds under pressure

A man walks past a Rupee installation at the Reserve Bank Of India (RBI) headquarters in Mumbai, India, April 8, 2026. REUTERS
MUMBAI, April 13 (Reuters) – The Indian rupee fell sharply on Monday as oil prices climbed after the U.S. moved ​to blockade Iranian shipping following the collapse of weekend ‌peace talks, triggering a selloff across local stocks and bonds.
The rupee declined 0.7% to 93.3950, while India’s benchmark Nifty 50 fell nearly 2%. The yield on the ​benchmark 10-year government bond rose more than 6 basis points to 6.973%.
The ​U.S. military said it will begin a blockade of ⁠all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports and coastal areas ​on Monday after weekend talks failed to reach a deal to end ​the war with Iran, jeopardizing a fragile two-week ceasefire.
In response, Brent crude oil futures rose over 7% to $102.2 per barrel.
Apart from higher oil prices, the rupee was also ​contending with diminshed support on Monday after banks completed the forced unwinding ​of arbitrage trades last week.
The unwinding had sparked chunky dollar sales in the ‌onshore ⁠market but traders reckon the rupee may now settle into a fresh range with oil prices and portfolio flows being the major drivers.
“These measures do not resolve the underlying external backdrop: India’s balance of payments ​pressures, elevated Middle ​East exposure via ⁠the terms of trade and oil import bill, and the tepid capital inflow environment,” analysts at Goldman ​Sachs said in a note.
Foreign investors have net sold ​over $19 ⁠billion of local stocks and bonds since the Iran war began in late February amid worries over how elevated prices and supply disruptions may threaten ⁠India’s ​growth-inflation dynamics.
In global markets, Asian currencies were ​mostly weaker on Monday, while MSCI’s gauge of regional stocksfell over 1%

Reporting by ​Jaspreet Kalra and Nimesh Vora; Editing by Sumana Nandy and Sonia Cheema

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