Kenya private sector activity falls in May, PMI shows

A general view shows a section of the skyline of the central business district of Nairobi, Kenya July 15, 2025. REUTERS
NAIROBI, June 4 (Reuters) – Kenya’s private sector activity shrank for a third straight month in May, hurt by ​a general rise in costs for both ‌businesses and their customers, a survey showed on Thursday.
The Stanbic Bank Kenya Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 46.6 in ​May from 49.4 a month earlier. Readings ​above 50.0 indicate growth in business activity, ⁠while those below that signal contraction. The May ​figure was the fastest drop since July 2024.
“When explaining ​the latest drop, panellists remarked on demand weakness, inflationary pressures and shortages of new work. Manufacturing bucked the wider ​trend and was the only sub-sector to see ​growth,” Stanbic Bank said in comments accompanying the survey.
Inflation rose ‌to ⁠6.7% year-on-year in May from 5.6% in April, hitting its highest in more than two years largely due to fuel price hikes linked to the Iran ​war.
Kenya’s statistics ​office said ⁠in late April it forecasts the economy will expand 4.9% in 2026, compared with ​4.6% last year.
“Inflationary pressures have intensified, ​constraining ⁠demand conditions, with input prices, purchase costs and output prices driven up by higher fuel and transportation ⁠costs. ​Still, despite subdued business momentum, ​firms remain optimistic about future conditions,” Christopher Legilisho, economist at Stanbic ​Bank, said.

Reporting by George Obulutsa; Editing by Hugh Lawson

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