India factory activity cooled in March with oil costs rising amid Middle East turmoil, PMI shows

A worker welds a steel bar at a steel processing production line of a factory in Mandi Gobindgarh, in the northern state of Punjab, India, August 14, 2025. REUTERS
BENGALURU, April 2 (Reuters) – India’s manufacturing sector grew at its slowest pace in nearly four years in March as ​the war in the Middle East stoked uncertainty, ‌disrupted supply chains and dented demand, while higher oil prices drove up input costs, a private survey showed.
Here are the ​key details:
  • The HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ ​Index (PMI)  compiled by S&P Global, fell to 53.9 ⁠in March from 56.9 in February, broadly in ​line with a preliminary estimate of 53.8.
  • New orders – a ​key gauge for demand – and output expanded at their weakest rate in close to four years.
  • “Disruptions linked to the conflict in ​the Middle East are reverberating through the global ​economy and weighing on Indian manufacturers,” said Pranjul Bhandari, chief ‌India ⁠economist at HSBC.
  • Export orders surged to a six-month high in March.
  • Firms faced their steepest cost pressures since August 2022, with prices for aluminium, chemicals, fuel and ​steel all rising ​sharply.
  • Despite the ⁠surge in input costs, companies raised selling prices at the slowest pace in ​two years.
  • Employment growth stayed solid in March ​with ⁠the pace hitting a seven-month high as firms added staff to clear backlogs and support expansion plans.
  • Manufacturers remained ⁠optimistic ​about the year ahead with ​sentiment reaching its highest since May 2024 on expectations of agricultural strength ​and capacity expansion.

Reporting by Shaloo Shrivastava; Editing by Shri Navaratnam

 

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