Air France-KLM revises capacity outlook on geopolitical uncertainty

A logo of the airline company KLM on an aircraft at Schiphol Airport near Amsterdam, Netherlands, April 15, 2026. REUTERS
LONDON, April 30 (Reuters) – Air France-KLM on Thursday reported a smaller first-quarter loss than expected, but downgraded its capacity outlook on the basis of geopolitical uncertainty tied ​to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran and rising jet fuel costs.
European ​airlines, including easyJet  and TUI , have revised their outlooks as ⁠their jet fuel hedges shrink over time. They expect to feel the ​impact of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz more acutely in the ​coming months.
“While fuel price increases are not yet reflected in the results we present today, they are expected to weigh on the coming quarters,” Air France-KLM Chief Executive Ben ​Smith said in a statement.
The company said its group capacity was now ​set to increase by 2% to 4% this year over 2025. It previously expected an ‌increase ⁠of 3% to 5%. It also said it expects a 2.4 billion euro ($2.80 billion) increase in its fuel bill in 2026 compared with 2025.
Air France-KLM reported a first-quarter operating loss of 27 million euros ($31.55 million), compared with a ​loss of 389 ​million euros ($454.51 million) ⁠projected by analysts polled by LSEG. That represents a 301 million euro improvement over last year, with fuel price ​increases not yet affecting first-quarter results.
It said it had ​seen an ⁠initial boost after the Iran war broke out as more travellers booked on European carriers for flights to Asia, but was planning to expand its long-haul ⁠capacity in ​a more muted way as people were ​postponing travel plans or booking closer to the date of travel, concerned by the financial risk ​tied to long-haul trips.
($1 = 0.8559 euros)

Reporting by Joanna Plucinska; Editing by Edmund Klamann

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