Yen hovers near intervention zone as traders weigh Middle East risks

Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 19, 2025. REUTERS
TOKYO, May 27 (Reuters) – The yen hovered close to its May low versus ‌the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, near levels that spurred Japanese currency intervention in recent weeks, as traders weighed the risks of a renewed flare-up in the Iran war.
The Australian dollar erased earlier gains against the greenback following cooler-than-expected inflation data.
The New ​Zealand dollar gained after the Reserve Bank’s policy committee signalled that interest rate hikes would ​likely be necessary in the coming months, after leaving policy steady as had ⁠been widely predicted.
The safe-haven U.S. dollar was steady after edging higher against major peers a day earlier, as ​U.S. strikes on Iran dented optimism for a near-term end to hostilities and a reopening of the ​crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping channel.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that negotiating a deal to halt the conflict could “take a few days.”
The yen crept up slightly to 159.28 per dollar on Wednesday, but remained close to the ​160 level that many market participants view as a red line for intervention to support it.
Bank ​of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda struck a somewhat hawkish posture on Wednesday, saying the war-driven oil shock could become persistent ‌in an ⁠environment of high inflation expectations and rising wages.
Markets currently lay around 68% odds for a quarter-point hike at the BOJ’s next policy meeting on June 15 to 16, according to LSEG data.
“While the threat of further intervention and growing bets in favour of a June hike from the Bank of Japan ​should be supporting the ​yen, Japan’s high exposure ⁠to the energy crisis is keeping the currency under pressure,” and Friday’s Tokyo consumer price data will be closely watched, said Matthew Ryan, head of ​market strategy at Ebury.
“We doubt that anything will derail a June hike from ​the BOJ ⁠at this stage, although a soft set of figures here could ease bets for tightening beyond then.”
The dollar index , which measures the currency against the yen and five other rivals, was little changed at 99.11 after ⁠adding ​0.15% on Tuesday.
The euro gained slightly to $1.1637.
The Aussie slipped 0.09% ​to $0.7160, reversing an earlier gain, after data showed the annual inflation rate cooled to 4.2% in April, compared with 4.6% in March ​and analysts’ forecasts of 4.4%.
New Zealand’s dollar jumped 0.6% to $0.5873.

Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Sonali Paul

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