South African rand weakens as high oil and risk aversion cap recovery

South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 28, 2020. REUTERS
JOHANNESBURG, March 5 (Reuters) – The South African rand weakened in early trade on Thursday, slipping back below 16.40 against ​the U.S. dollar as high oil prices ‌and risk aversion pressured South Africa’s terms of trade and capped any meaningful recovery.
At 0814 GMT the rand traded ​at 16.4975 against the dollar , about 1% down ​from its previous close.
  • The South African rand has ⁠lost around 4% since the beginning of the ​week, causing USD-ZAR to move significantly away from ​the 16-mark for the time being to currently trade around the 16.5 level.
  • “The ZAR is back below 16.40, while the gold price ​remains elevated, helping the ZAR find its footing. ​Unfortunately, oil prices remain well elevated, which will keep SA’s ‌terms ⁠of trade under pressure and prevent the ZAR from fully recovering,” said ETM Analytics in a research note.
  • Commodity prices have been acting as a tailwind, as ​key South African ​export gold which is ⁠rising on global markets on the back of safe haven demand.
  • The Johannesburg Stock ​Exchange’s Top-40 index was down 0.5% ​in early ⁠trade.
  • South Africa’s benchmark 2035 government bond also fell in early deals, as the yield rose 4 basis ⁠points ​to 8.265%.
  • Andre Cilliers, Currency Strategist at ​TreasuryONE said he expects the rand to remain susceptible to geopolitical developments in ​the short term.

Reporting by Anathi Madubela;Editing by Elaine Hardcastle

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